Import-dependent economy
By AMADO P. MACASAET
In absolute terms, the amount of foreign
exchange used to import capital goods is far bigger than dollars
spent on consumption goods.
However, there is a clear trend towards heavy
dependence on imports of consumption goods while money spent on
capital assets is erratically pointing downward for almost 10
years since 1999.
In that year, imports of capital goods
declined by an unbelievable 43 percent. In absolute amounts, the
value of imports in 1999 was $6.895 billion. On the other hand,
imports of consumption goods went up insignificantly by .001
percent to $2.647 billion.
Figures obtained from the Bangko Sentral show
that importation of capital assets – machinery and equipment,
raw materials and semi-finished products – is declining while
that of consumption goods which now include fresh vegetables,
fresh fruits and even banana chips – not to mention billions of
dollars worth of rice from Vietnam and Thailand – is steadily
going up.
Last year, according to BSP figures, value of
consumption goods bought from foreign sources climbed by 41
percent while dollars spent on capital assets went down by four
per cent.
The figures paint a picture of deteriorating
local production of consumption goods caused precisely by the
decrease in the value of importation of capital goods.
Dependence on foreign consumption goods has
the effect of subsidizing foreign producers while local
companies that have the capability to produce the same goods are
denied the market that is supposed to be their own.
The propensity to import consumption goods is
brought about largely by the hauling down of tariff barriers to
common low levels in compliance with conditions of acceding to
the World Trade Organization.
Low tariff left local producers of
consumption goods unable to compete with foreign sources which
have more modern equipment and technology and more efficient
management practices. And less strident labor to boot.
The situation is made worse by the apparent
neglect of agriculture. Consequently, the Philippines has become
the world’s biggest importer of rice.
Since 1999, there was only one year – in 2000
– when imports of capital goods went up by 13 percent. In that
year, imports of consumption goods went down insignificantly by
.047 percent.
Since then, imports of capital goods and
consumption goods have been moving in opposite direction. Value
of imported capital assets is coming down steadily and in fact
declined by four per cent last year.
On the other hand, imports of consumption
goods, many of which can be produced in the Philippines, except
automobiles and other vehicles, soared by an incredible 41
percent.,
The figures obtained from the BSP explain why
job creation has been slow and local production in the
agricultural and manufacturing sectors is coming down or does
not go up appreciably.
The same figures are a portent that efforts
to industrialize the economy have failed. Similarly, the
capability of the economy to produce consumption goods has been
disappointing.
The numbers from the BSP may be interpreted
to mean that the headlong jump into membership in the WTO did
not help the economy.
The expected effect was for the Philippine
economy to join globalization and compete with the giants. The
result as indicated by the figures supplied by the BSP is
alarming dependence on imports of consumption goods precisely
because the importation of capital assets which could have
produced these goods has been niggardly.
As indicated by the BSP figures, the country
is headed towards heavier and heavier dependence on consumption
goods.
The result is a continued slow down in job
creation because continued and mounting imports of goods that
can be produced in the Philippines practically subsidize foreign
labor.