October 23, 2017, 3:52 pm
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Duterte’s mass base shows exasperation

Presidential spokesperson Ernesto Abella is correct when he said that “the love is still there” for President Duterte among his followers despite the 18-point drop in net satisfaction rating and 15 points in net trust rating.

Social Weather Stations said even if the satisfaction and trust ratings plunged, the net satisfaction rating is still “good” and the trust rating is still “very good.”

Malacañang can still take comfort with that rating. It’s not negative.

In interviews last month, SWS asked 1,500 adults nationwide: “Please tell me how satisfied or dissatisfied you are with the performance of Rodrigo Duterte as President of the Philippines. Are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, undecided if satisfied or dissatisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, very dissatisfied, or you have not ever heard or read anything about Rodrigo Duterte?”

The results was 67 percent said they were satisfied, 19 percent said they were dissatisfied and 14 percent were undecided. That gave Duterte a net satisfaction rating of 48 percent which is an 18 point- fall from the 66 percent that he enjoyed in the second quarter survey last June.

SWS explained their terminology as: +70 and above, “excellent”; +50 to +69, “very good”; +30 to +49, “good”; +10 to +29, “moderate”, +9 to –9, “neutral”; –10 to –29, “poor”; –30 to –49, “bad”; –50 to –69, “very bad”; –70 and below, “execrable.”

They said they consider the movement from one classification to another as either an “upgrade” or “downgrade.”

In the trust survey, respondents were asked, “Please indicate if your trust/faith in (Rody Duterte) is Very much, Somewhat much, Undecided if much or little, Somewhat little, Very little, or You have not heard or read anything about (name of personality) ever? You may indicate your answers by placing each card on the appropriate box on this rating board]”.

The result found 73 percent of Filipinos have much trust, 12 percent with little trust, and 15 percent undecided in Duterte for a net trust rating of 60 percent, which SWS still classifies as “very good” even if it’s a downgrade from excellent +75 last June.

It’s not unusual for a President’s rating to decline after one year when the people become disappointed with election promises not fulfilled but as SWS President Mahar Mangahas said the Duterte’s ratings “fall” is a little bit faster than average, compared to past presidents…”

It should be noted that the decline is across all sectors: geography, economic class, education, gender, age.

What should alarm Duterte and his advisers is that his so-called masa base is showing dissatisfaction.

Political analyst Segundo Romero in his analysis of the survey results noted that “The poor are most exasperated. The poorest class, Class E, is least satisfied with Duterte’s performance (net satisfaction of 35%). They also show the most precipitous drop in satisfaction rating between the 2Q and 3Q surveys (32%). This is the largest socio-economic class, and should be watched closely. This is where the Kadamay, and the Marcos wealth redistribution hopefuls come from.”

The question is, “Can he still recover?

He has more than four years to work on that.
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