A YEAR AHEAD
OF SCHEDULE
Gov’t may balance budget in ’07
By MAX ESTAYO
The government may be able to balance its
budget this year, one year ahead of schedule after a lucrative
asset sale boosted the November budget surplus to a whopping
P54.1 billion.
Finance secretary Margarito Teves said that a
record P90.6 billion was raised from privatizations in the first
11 months of the year.
Should the government be able to balance the
budget, it will be the first time in 10 years.
"We are looking at a much reduced deficit and
maybe there’s a fighting chance, let’s see, let’s hope, we might
even end up with a balanced budget," Teves said.
This year’s budget deficit target is P63
billion but after booking nearly P58.5 billion from the sale of
a majority stake in the geothermal firm PNOC-Energy Development
Corp. last month, it has a surplus of P12.6 billion for the
first 11 months.
Teves said the P12.6-billion surplus for the
first 11 months was "the highest to date." It was a reversal
from the P58.3-billion deficit incurred last year and the
P55-billion deficit expected for the first 11 months this year.
In the meantime, the P54.1 billion was a
turnaround from the P5.8-billion deficit same month last year
and was way above the P2.7-billion surplus expected for the
month this year.
The government has relied on asset sales to
boost revenues and plug the deficit although rating agencies
have criticized the strategy as being "unsustainable."
The record surplus in the first 11 months was
achieved amidst a modest growth in tax revenues and
expenditures, Teves said.
Total revenues reached P1.04 trillion, up by
18 percent from last year while expenditures rose by 10 percent
to P1.03 trillion.
The Bureau of Internal Revenue collected P647
billion, up by nine percent from last year and the Bureau of
Customs, P192.1 billion, up by six percent from a year ago.
In November, revenues rose by 71 percent to
P148.3 billion and expenditures by a mild six percent to P94.1
billion.
The BIR collected P72.3 billion, up by 18
percent from last year and the BOC, P20.3 billion, up by 25
percent from last year.
The BIR and BOC have full-year targets of
P765 billion and P228 billion, respectively.
The impressive headline numbers failed to
move Philippine assets and analysts said the performance was
unlikely to be repeated next year as Manila had sold many of its
main big ticket assets and would have to rely more on squeezing
collections out of reluctant taxpayers in 2008.
"Next year, the onus to push (tax
collections) growth supportive of fiscal policies will be great,
especially with the authorities’ optimistic growth target," said
Christy Tan, economist with Bank of America.
The stock market finished down 0.53 percent
and the peso was quoted at 41.93 against the dollar, weaker than
Monday’s close of 41.655.
Philippines’ overseas bonds were unmoved.
The Philippines has been struggling to tackle
widespread tax evasion and official corruption but in a positive
sign, the country’s main tax agency, which provides two thirds
of government revenue, met its collections target in November,
the first time in four months.
"I think tax collection will be better next
year," said Luz Lorenzo, economist with ATR-KIM Eng Securities.
"Tax collection has to improve. To date there
has been a slight improvement because tax revenues to GDP for
the nine months is at 14.4 percent and last year for the full
year it was 14.3 percent."
The Philippines relies heavily on foreign and
domestic debt to fund its budget shortfalls and this year’s
improving finances have helped Manila halve its overseas
commercial borrowing requirement to $500 million for next year.
The government also wants to rely more on
domestic borrowings next year to help stem the rise of the peso,
up nearly 17 percent against the dollar so far this year.(with
reports from Reuters)