By MAX ESTAYO
Central banks should focus on keeping
inflation conducive for growing business than making a direct
effort to push economic growth cutting interest rates, a Nobel
Prize awardee for economics said.
Prof. Finn Erling Kydland said cutting rates
to save the financial market is not the duty of central banks,
an obvious potshot at the Fed's drastic rate adjustments,
something that central banks around the world have the
propensity to follow.
However, he said central banks can manage
inflation, which is their contribution to the growth of
companies.
"Central banks can't do much in affecting
immediate earnings potential of businesses. Maybe they can do
more than the usual by providing a low inflation environment,"
Kydland said in a dinner held in his honor by the Bangko Sentral
ng Pilipinas in Makati Wednesday night.
Kydland expressed surprise at the frantic
action of the Fed to lower rates ahead of schedule, in an
obvious move to stop the stock market from further hemorrhaging.
"It's inevitable that the Fed would cut rates
but they could have waited at the right time. What business do
central banks have in helping the stock market when they should
focus on inflation?" the University of California (Santa
Barbara) and Carnegie Mellon University economics professor
said.
Kydland said central banks, led by the Fed,
had put too much emphasis on the subprime crisis, using the
monetary policy to prevent a fallout instead of just sticking to
their inflation goals.
Their "behavior," Kydland said could "raise
inflation expectations in the future. So other than alleviating
subprime fears, the Fed, for instance, has become less "powerful
in jumstarting the real economy."
"What they said worry is that their decision
could raise inflation fears, and that's a valid concern," the
2004 Nobel Laureate said.
There's something, however, that central
banks can do - to make banks continue to lend.
Because of the crisis, banks have become
reluctant to lend, adopting a "cautious" stance, something that
has an adverse impact on economies, he said.
"Banks become more cautious in lending to
businesses. If central banks can do something to lessen that
cautiousness then they contribute to making the subprime crisis
less severe," Kydland said.
Kydland warned that the rest of the world has
not decoupled from what's happening in the US and so countries,
such as the Asean 5, should be ready to take a hit should the
subprime crisis worsen.
"There's a spillover effect from one country
to the other parts. You can't expect a block of countries to
decouple from the rest of the world," he said, stressing the
technological links that make markets highly dependent on each
other.