By ALBERT CASTRO
Philippine growth for the first quarter of
the year is expected to slow down to 6 percent due to the
slowing US economy, according to National Economic Development
Authority acting director general Augusto Santos.
Santos said initial data indicate a slowing
down in production. in agriculture and in manufacturing sectors.
A US decline of 1 percent will result into a
0.176 percent decline in the Philippine economy the NEDA earlier
said.
Santos said that while services sector
continues to be the growth driver, it may not be enough to
offset the slowdown in manufacturing.
Ildemarc Bautista, head of research at
Metrobank, however said the economy can grow higher than six
percent, given the government's plan of pump priming.
" The government's pump priming activities
helped the economy in Q4," said Bautista.
The president has announced that expenses
will be frontloaded in the first quarter to pump prime the
economy.
Bautista said the problem is how can the
government balance the budget while pump priming the economy.
"They must look at the revenue growth while
they keep on spending. How long can they keep on rejecting
offers on treasuries if collections are below par," said
Bautista.
Former Socio-economic Secretary Cayetano
Paderanga meanwhile said that a slow economic growth for the
Philippines will also result on a slower "equitable distribution
of wealth" among the Filipino people. Paderanga noted that while
a 6 percent economic growth will not necessarily result to a
lack of trickling down effect of economic benefits to
grassroots, it makes the delivery of services much slower.
The Asian Development Bank earlier said that
the Philippines has to grow between 7 - 8 percent in a
successive periods of time for economic growth to trickle to
grassroots.
Paderanga said a slow economic growth hinders
the urban poor sector "to participate in a globalized market."
""What we have to be concerned of is that
this sector will have a hard time trying to participate in
globalization," he said.
Paderanga said the government should be
investing in socially-oriented projects to equip the less
fortunate sectors (urban poor) the skill to be competitive in
the current economic trend.
Paderanga said that even a 5.5 percent
economic growth could still assure the Philippines that the
growth could trickle down to the poor.