roving all
"analysts" wrong, former First Lady and now Senator Hillary Clinton is back in
the thick of the race for the Democratic Party presidential nomination, coming
from a 10-pt opinion poll deficit to beat fellow Senator Barack Obama in the New
Hampshire primary.
It was in many ways a "must-win" for Clinton, who throughout
2007 was considered the front runner for her party’s presidential nomination, in
fact a "shoo-in" in the eyes of some. But she stumbled and stumbled badly in the
open Iowa caucuses where independent voters may have outnumbered core Democratic
party voters and who carried Obama to victory in the very first political
contest of the season.
The Iowa defeat not only robbed Clinton of the air of
inevitability, if also raised the possibility that a second, successive defeat
would totally upend her campaign and relegate her to history books as another of
the early "inevitables" who never made it.
With the victory in New Hampshire, Clinton’s campaign is
getting traction again. And while she no longer looks as inevitable as she did
before her defeat in Iowa, she still remains, I believe, the front-runner in the
race for the nomination of the Democratic Party.
In fact, even this early, I believe that the race for the
Democratic Party nomination is now down to Clinton and Obama; John Edwards, who
in 2004 was the running mate of John Kerry, is I think going to fade even if he
is able to pull off a win in one or two states and may in fact end up only a
contender for another vice presidential nomination, assuming Edwards wants to be
bridesmaid two straight elections in a row.
The race for the Democratic Party nomination being so
up-in-the-air still, I am now confused as to which to bring out and use of the
two 2008 election calendars I bought in the US last December: one features a
"countdown" to the inauguration of "President" Obama; the other is a countdown
to the inauguration of "President" Clinton.
Focusing on the Philippines and our own growing interest in
elections in 2010, I recently asked listeners of the daily morning program "Pananaw
sa DWWW 774 kHz" what they believed was an "ideal" tandem for president and vice
president come 2010. I asked the listeners to name that combination of a
president and vice president that they believed would be best suited to address
our national problems (and even help us overcome our personal ones!) whether or
not the individuals named were of the same party. And what interesting
combinations I got!
One listener started off by saying he believed a President
Mar Roxas by 2010 would be best positioned to address our problems. Who, I
challenged, should be the ideal vice president to Mar? After admitting that he
hadn’t given that much thought (despite my clear instructions that I wanted a
tandem) he then sputtered that maybe Korina Sanchez would fit the bill.
I think he thought I was asking about love teams.
Another caller said he believed a Binay-Fernando team would
be best, given the experiences of these two local executives, specifically their
no-nonsense approach to governance.
A third suggested an Escudero-Estrada (as in Joseph, the
ex-president) match-up, because the former, as president, would bring youth,
vigor and idealism, while the latter would bring booze, babes and bets. (Just
kidding.)
All in all about four listeners started off by saying a
President Lacson would be ideal in 2010, with one of those suggesting a
Lacson-Binay tandem. Three listeners suggested a President Binay, with one of
them suggesting a Binay-Lacson administration. Manny Villar was the choice of
two listeners, with Mar Roxas and Loren as his vice presidents. Bayani Fernando
was the choice of two listeners.
I will detail the choices and name the listeners in Monday’s
piece. But what do you think?
Anyway, back to the USA, I am still wondering if the Democrats will be brazen
enough to put together for 2008 a ticket that breaks all barriers: How about
Clinton for president and Obama for vice president. The first woman candidate,
the first black American running for vice president. A former first lady. A
first-time senator from Illinois. Maybe it will be too much for the conservative
American voter, especially of the WASP-type; but if you’re talking about change,
what could be more unprecedented than a combination like that?