GSIS says $1B
foreign investment
to help it extend actuarial life
By MAX ESTAYO
The Government Service Insurance System in
investing $1 billion abroad seeks to diversify the sources of
its income and extend the actuarial life of the fund.
The Philippine equities market, GSIS
president Winston Garcia said, is too small.
GSIS expects to earn the minimum of eight
percent yield or $80 million annually from its $1-billion global
investments, or $240 million between now and 2011.
Cerge Andal, vice president of GSIS, said the
fund’s investment strategy is to lengthen actuarial solvency
that it will have the funds after 47 years, its current
actuarial life.
The foreign investments will help the fund
attain the hurdle rate of 11 percent, meaning it must earn 11
centavos for every peso of member’s money remitted to the GSIS.
"If we’re not able to meet that, the hurdle
rate will be lower and so the actuarial life of the fund will be
lower also," Andal said.
Garcia said the domestic capital market is
too small and that the market allows very little room for
diversification.
"The market is so small, there is no
liquidity, you just can’t get out if you want," he said.
So, if the stock market plunges tomorrow, the
pension fund can’t just pull out its funds, but instead take in
the losses until the prices recover and appetite for the shares
return.
Last year, the fund fortunately was able to
reverse 2006 losses in stock investments. It earned P9 billion
from the sale alone of San Miguel Corp. shares last year.
The limited capital market, he said makes it
difficult for the fund to turn around its money, he said.
Also, the instruments available are just too
few, with investors alternating just between the fixed-income
and equity markets, so there’s little room to spread the risks.
The $1-billion fund, Garcia said, will be
invested "across the global markets" in a variety of instruments
including global bonds, Asian stocks, global equities fund,
global property securities and alternative investments.
"It will be across all markets so we’ll
diversification. The exposure should be balanced – not all
markets go down or up – so you spread the risks," Garcia said.
But the pension fund’s 1.3 million members,
workers in the public sector, should not expect immediate
benefit in terms of increases in pension or dividends.
At most, what the fund can guarantee is that
it can meet its obligations to its members for the next 47 years
or until 2055.
Winston Garcia, president and general manager
of GSIS, said the pension fund is spending P34 billion this year
for members’ benefits, just about 10 percent more than what it
spent last year.
The fund has assets of P380 billion as of
November 2007, Andal said,
At present the bulk or 30 percent of the
assets is invested in loans to members, 25 percent to bonds, and
less than 10 percent in stocks, Andal said.
The rest is invested in real estate,
deposited in banks or lent out to the government.
Including the gains from these investments,
the eight percent net that Credit Agricole Asset Management and
ING Investment Management are tasked to turn in for the pension
fund annually in the next three years should enable GSIS to meet
the 11-percent hurdle rate, Andal said.
Andal said investing abroad is the best
strategy for the $1-billion or P42-billion fund. If it’s left in
the country, it is likely end up in banks and earn just below
five percent annually, which is not enough to push the hurdle
rate to the desired limit, in effect lowering the actuarial life
of the pension fund.
Denys de Campigneulles, deputy chief
executive officer for Asia of Credit Agricole, said the French
bank intends to invest its allocation, which is yet to be
determined, in Asia, Europe and the United States in this order.
Based on his assumptions, Andal said the $1
billion should earn more than eight percent. However, the
allowed volatility of seven percent for the fund will be
constant.
Andal said the pension fund has about P50
billion in cash that it can pull out for its global investment
plan.
"This investment we’re making will make sure
that when all our members retire, even if they’re only 20 years
old, they’ll get the benefits due them," he said.