Int’l reserves
hit record $36.7B
despite BSP action to support peso
The Philippines’ gross international reserves
rose to a record $36.7 billion in June even after the central
bank intervened in currency markets to sell dollars to support
the ailing peso.
The record reserves reflected proceeds from
the sale of the power assets and BSP’s income from investments
abroad.
May’s reserves were revised down to $36.2
billion from $36.6 billion.
The BSP like the central banks of South
Korea, Thailand and India, has tried to prop up its currency to
help in the fight against inflation, which is largely being
fuelled by rising import costs.
The peso is Asia’s worst-performing currency
after the SouthKorea won, having lost more than 9 percent
against the dollar so far this year as investors worry about the
economic impact of inflation, which currently stands at a
14-year high of 11.4 percent.
In contrast, the peso was Asia’s top
performer last year, gaining 19 percent.
Foreign reserves fell in both April and May.
The central bank has been intervening in the spot currency
market since at least March, traders said.
While the central bank’s international
reserves have risen, its holdings of foreign currencies through
forward swaps have fallen 30 percent to $6.3 billion at the end
of May compared with April, and by nearly 52 percent from the
peak of $13 billion in January and February.
The central bank’s currency swaps serve as a
foreign exchange buffer for the monetary authority, as these
represent additional foreign reserves the central bank would
hold when the swap contracts are unwound.
The current level of international reserves
can cover 6 months of imports of goods and payments of income
and services. It is also equivalent to 5.1 times the country’s
short-term external debt based on original maturity and 2.9
times based on residual maturity, or debt falling due in the
next 12 months.
The end-June reserves are close to the top
end of the central bank’s forecast of end-year reserves of $35
billion to $37 billion against $33.7 billion at the end of 2007.
BSP also said that the current GIR is also
equivalent
to 5.1 times the country’s short-term
external debt based on original maturity and 2.9 times based on
residual maturity.
Short-term debt based on residual maturity
refers to outstanding external debt with original maturity of
one year or less, plus principal payments on medium- and
long-term loans of the public and private sectors falling due
within the next 12 months.
Also, BSP said that the level of net
international reserves (NIR) as of end-June 2008, including
revaluation of reserve assets and reserve-related liabilities,
remained steady at $36.2 billion.
NIR refers to the difference between the
BSP’s GIR and total short-term liabilities.
The June-GIR is at the top range of the BSP’s
forecast that GIR this year will range between $35 to $37
billion, higher than the reported $33.7 billion in 2007.
Reserves consist of holdings of gold, special
drawing rights, foreign investments and foreign exchange. A
sufficient reserve level could adequately cover a government’s
finances.