BSP hikes key
interest rates
by 50bps to combat inflation
By JIMMY CALAPATI
The Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas yesterday
raised its interest rates by half a percentage point, tightening
policy for the second month in a row to combat inflation that is
running at a 14-year high.
BSP Governor Amando Tetangco said "a decisive
action" is needed to combat the risks of inflation seen
exceeding targets for this year and next.
The rise takes the overnight borrowing rate
to 5.75 percent and the overnight lending rate to 7.75 percent.
The central bank raised rates by 25 basis
points in June, its first rate increase in almost three years.
The central bank did not tweak the
availability of its Special Deposit Accounts (SDAs), as expected
by some analysts.
However, rates at this facility would
increase in tandem with the increase in headline rates.
BSP deputy governor Diwa Guinigundo said
inflation forecasts for 2008 has been reset from 7-9 percent to
9-11 percent.
"But this do not take into account yet the
impact of the monetary action last June and what we just did
yesterday," Guinigundo said.
He added that inflation for 2008 would peak
by October, reaching to "at least 12 percent".
Last June 5, the Monetary Board hiked key
policy rates by 25 basis points, after inflation in May reached
9.5 percent.
June inflation reached 11.4 percent, highest
in 14 years.
"The inflation outlook is more elevated than
what we saw when we last met," Guinigundo said.
He added that the Monetary Board wants to be
preemptive.
"We want to make sure that inflation
expectation are more anchored," Guinigundo added.
The Monetary Board, in its assessment of
price conditions, noted that concurrent and interrelated shocks
to the economy-such as the persistent surge in oil prices and
spikes in commodity prices-have contributed to elevated
inflation readings.
The Monetary Board believes that second-round
effects have set in, as evident in the rise in core inflation.
Second-round effects refer to additional
inflationary pressures created by wage hikes, transport fare
hikes and increases in utilities like power and water.
The regional wage boards earlier approved an
increase in the minimum wage for private-sector workers. The
government also allowed an increase in salaries of state
workers.
Recently, the government approved increases
in transport fares.
Economists noted that with the BSP planning
to tame consumer prices, the pressure to curb excess
liquidity-the amount of surplus cash in the financial system-has
become stronger.
Increased cash in the Philippines financial
system-brought about by wage hikes and rising transport
fares-tend to ramp up demand for consumer goods, leading to
higher commodity prices.
An increase in the BSP's borrowing rate
encourages banks to deposit more of their funds with the central
bank.
This tempers the rise of money in
circulation, which, in turn, eases growth in demand for goods
and services.
Tetangco said that sustained high inflation
could unseat inflation expectations and potentially create a
repeating cycle of lingering inflation and wage pressures that
could prove costly to the economy.