BY ELLEN TORDESILLAS
THE inclusion of detained Navy officer
Antonio Trillanes IV of the Genuine Opposition in the Magic 12
in all credible post-election surveys has been described
invariably as a "shocker" and a "coup."
Someone has coined the phrase, "doing it the
Trillanes way" to mean coming from behind to score a victory.
Until the last two weeks before election day
when he rose to No. 16 in the SWS/Inquirer survey, he was
languishing in the 21st to 25th spots.
In the much-awaited Pulse Asia/ABS-CBN
nationwide exit poll, Trillanes placed No.9.
A source who visited Trillanes two days after
the election said the detained officer is calmly and confidently
taking his impending electoral victory. He knows that Malacañang
will do everything to frustrate the will of the people but he is
confident that the same network of supporters that put him in
the winning circle will continue to be vigilant and protect his
votes.
The source said Trillanes is not at all
surprised by his inclusion in the Magic 12. He said his No. 16
standing which was noted by SWS/Inquirer in its May 2- 4 survey
had been reflected in their own surveys as early as the second
month of the campaign. He is happy finally their survey figures
have been manifested in the votes.
Political analysts are one in describing
Trillanes’ win as a protest vote against the administration of
Gloria Arroyo.
Adel Tamano, the party spokesman of the
Genuine Opposition, waxing ecstatic, said, "A guy who has no
money, almost no ads, who’s in jail, will win against the likes
of (Prospero) Pichay, who spent over 100 million in ads, win
over (Luis) Chavit (Singson), win over so many team-GMA
candidates. He is the ultimate protest vote."
While most of the GO candidates tried to
temper their attack on Gloria Arroyo, careful not to be labeled
"negative" hoping to appeal to the middle-class voters lulled in
their comfort zones, Trillanes went on the offensive calling
Gloria Arroyo a "fraudulently enlisted commander-in-chief."
SWS’ Mahar Mangahas attributes Trillanes’
winning support to the perception that he is being persecuted.
Although Malacañang officials are still
hoping against hope that the final numbers will see Trillanes
out of the winning circle, Executive Eduardo Ermita credits
"high media exposure" for Trillanes support. A Palace
functionary, who declined to be identified, trivialized
Trillanes’ appeal to the voters to his being "eye-catching."
Our man on the street interviews showed three
qualities that voters identify with Trillanes: naninindigan
(takes a stand), lumalaban (fights), handang magsakripisyo
(willing to sacrifice)
If and when his Senate win becomes official,
Trillanes should find satisfaction in recalling the initial
reactions to his announcement that he would be running for
senator, especially Press Secretary Ignacio Bunye’s
condescending "Trillanes who?"
It was this arrogance of Arroyo’s officials
that worked greatly for Trillanes, who has been in detention for
almost four years because of his involvement in the so-called
Oakwood mutiny of July 27, 2003.
Dismissing Trillanes’ senatorial bid as a
delusion that those in prison are entitled to, Arroyo’s
officials allowed him to register as a voter, and later to file
his certificate of candidacy.
Trillanes was ready to run as an independent
candidate and he filed his certificate of candidacy as one. The
opposition ticket initially was not enthusiastic about his
candidacy, citing his inability to campaign physically and his
not being known in the provinces. They wanted sure winners and
they had more than enough for their ticket. So they thought.
In the beginning, the opposition, then going
by the name United Opposition (UNO) had in their lineup
political heavyweights: re-electionist Panfilo Lacson, former
senators Loren Legarda, Gregorio Honasan, Tito Sotto and John
Osmeña. They were expecting the Wednesday group - re-reelectionists
Manny Villar, Joker Arroyo, Ralph Recto and Francis Pangilinan
to be in their ticket. Young politicians Francis Escudero, Alan
Peter Cayetano, Koko Pimentel and Benigno "Noynoy" Aquino were
assured of slots in the ticket.
But issues among parties in UNO caused the
exclusion of some. Noynoy Aquino couldn’t run alongside Honasan.
Between the two, Aquino won so Honasan was excluded.
The exclusion of Honasan didn’t sit well with
Sotto, who wanted to run with his whole "gang" – Honasan, Osmeña,
and Tessie Aquino-Oreta. There could only be one Aquino in the
ticket, and UNO chose Noynoy over his aunt. Sotto, with Oreta,
defected to Gloria Arroyo leaving another slot open.
The decision of Joker Arroyo and Ralph Recto
to stick it out with Gloria Arroyo left more slots open in the
opposition ticket. That paved the way for Trillanes’ inclusion
in a major party. He had joined the big league.
Next: Will Malacañang allow Trillanes to win?