Traction
Share prices, peso rebound
The country’s financial markets are showing
traction following combined central bank and banks’ efforts to
provide liquidity in the system.
The Philippine Stock Exchange index rose by
3.82 percent yesterday clawing back last week’s massive losses
of 12.8 percent. The PSEi is now back to 2,025.58 points, up 19
percent from Monday and Tuesday’s bloodbath. Trading reached
P2.67 billion.
The peso also improved to 48.49 to the US
dollar, up from Friday’s close of 48.94.
The credit default swap on the country’s
bonds has also tightened from 8.5 percent last week to 4.65
percent yesterday. The swap rate however is still double the
pre-crisis rate of over two percent.
Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas Gov. Amando
Tetangco, however said that since the depth and scope of the
global financial turmoil remains unknown, monetary authorities
will keep in place more measures and will not rely only on
"tinkering with interest rates".
Tetangco is much concerned with the
increasing spread in the country’s ROPs which reflects
non-confidence on the country’s financial system.
"We realize that the spread movement is
primarily due to risk aversion towards emerging markets,
including the Philippines, nevertheless we needed to shore up
confidence," Tetangco said.
Tetangco noted that dollar liquidity has been
improved after "uneven distribution" has been evened out.
"I have repeatedly said there is ample
liquidity in the system. We just need to address the somewhat
uneven distribution," Tetangco said.
These measures include enhancing BSP’s peso
repo facility and opening up a dollar repo facility.
The central bank chief also said that they
have also maintained a presence in both the spot and swap forex
markets.
Given the extraordinary problems faced by
financial institutions, the BSP also last week released new
guidelines geared at providing relief for banks.
The Monetary Board, in its latest meeting on
Thursday, eased foreign currency denominated units (FCDUs) asset
cover requirements and issued new guidelines on reclassification
of financial assets.
"We have also been in close contact with the
banks, and we are pleased with the gentlemen’s agreements that
they announced recently related to their open forex positions
and the greater scrutiny on client demands for forex," Tetangco
said.
As central banks around the world lowered
their key policy rates, Tetangco maintained that the BSP’s
monetary policy stance "is appropriate at this time."
"With the global crisis and prospects of a
marked slowdown in global economic growth for 2009, monetary
policy will continue to be geared towards the achievement of
price stability while exercising flexibility given the presence
of significant shocks to the real sector," Tetangco said.
Chelsea Dipasupil, RCBC Securities, Inc.,
said the market appears to be welcoming the possibility that
Barrack Obama would win the US election.," said Dipasupil.
Claire Quiray, Accord Capital Equities, Inc.,
analyst, said investors are likewise expecting the local central
bank to cut on rates following the US Fed’s decision to cut its
rate by 50 basis point. Quiray noted that the BSP recently said
that the US cut gives them elbow room for a similar move.
Most actively traded Philippine Long Distance
Telephone Co., (PLDT) was up P30 to P2,025.
Ayala Corp., was up P10 to P243.
Energy Development Corp., was up P0.20 to
3.15.
Manila Electric Co., was up P4 to P62.50.
Ayala Land, Inc., was up P0.70 to P6.60.
SM Investments Corp., was up P5 to P203.
Manila Water Corp., was up P1.75 to P14.
Meanwhile Asian currencies rose led by the
volatile South Korean won, up nearly 3 percent from Friday’s
domestic close, as the government said it would pump an extra
$11 billion into the economy next year to try to divert a
punishing downturn.
The Indonesian rupiah rose about 1.6 percent
to 10,800 per dollar, as local shares jumped almost 8.7 percent.
The Singapore dollar rose almost 0.8 percent
to S$1.4707 per US dollar as surging local stocks prodded
investors to sell US dollars to stop losses.
Meanwhile, the e peso rose as far as 48.67
per dollar, up about 0.6 percent from Friday’s close.
"I think the peso/dollar takes it lead from
the equity market," said a trader in Manila..