BY JIMMY CALAPATI
THE Bangko Sentral yesterday cut bank
reserves by 2 percentage points and doubled its rediscounting
facility, twin moves that are expected to inject P80 billion
into the credit system.
The cut in the statutory reserve requirement
from 10 to 8 percent will take effect in November 14. The
doubling of the rediscounting facility from P20 billion to P40
billion took effect immediately.
The measures are intended to encourage banks
to lend more to each other after banks had been observing to be
hoarding cash, resulting in higher interbank rates.
The P80 billion, however, can also be used to
speculate against the peso.
The peso closed at 48.81 to the dollar
yesterday, down from 48.555 last Thursday. The total value of
transactions at the Philippine Dealing System reached $641
million, a bit higher than the $537.47 million the day before,
but below the daily average of $850 million in the past months.
The limited peso-dollar deals, traders say,
likely mean that banks’ attempts to cater only to legitimate
dollar users are working. On the other hand, the limited trade
could also mean that less dollars are floating around.
Local banks are now required to maintain 19
percent reserves in the form of 11 percent liquidity reserves
(unchanged) to the reduced 8 percent regular reserves.
Key rates currently stand at 6 percent for
overnight borrowing and 8 percent for overnight lending.
"The two measures are aimed at preemptively
ensuring the proper functioning of the interbank market and
guarding against a possible liquidity or credit tightness
arising from the global rise in risk aversion," BSP Gov. Amando
Tetangco said.
"The rediscounting facility allows banks to
borrow from the BSP against eligible promissory notes for
short-term liquidity needs," Tetangco added.
Tetangco said the BSP will continue to
monitor financial and monetary developments, particularly those
in the credit market, and act to shield the financial system
from the adverse effects of the global financial crisis.
Despite fears of a liquidity crunch among
local financial institutions, Tetangco earlier said money on
stream is sufficient but there is a "distribution issue."
Tetangco said interest rates have started to
go up but he said this was a normal reaction to risks and not an
indication of a credit crunch.
"It is pretty much expected," said Su Sian
Lim at DBS Bank in Singapore. "They have been indicating that
they’d rather go down this path first than cut interest rates."
The move follows a fall in inflation to an
annual 11.2 percent in October from 12.5 percent in August and
11.8 percent in September.
But some analysts believe a cut in key
interest rates is still in the offing with inflation on a steady
decelerating path.
The central bank kept rates steady at its
last meeting in October but raised rates at each of its three
previous meetings by a total of 100 basis points.
"I think it is a clear indication that a rate
cut is in the pipeline," said Vishnu Varathan, economist at
Forecast in Singapore. "There is of course a certain fear that
increased liquidity could impact asset markets negatively over
the medium term."
The country’s foreign reserves slipped to
$35.7 billion at the end of October from $36.7 billion the
previous month after authorities intervened in the market to
support the falling peso.
Despite the central bank’s market
intervention, the peso remained one of the region’s major
laggards, losing more than 15 percent so far this year against
the dollar.
Central banks in the region actively
supported their currencies as markets tumbled when investors
pulled out of emerging markets.
The slippage in foreign reserves came from
the fall in the price of gold, which pulled down the value of
gold holdings, and payments of maturing foreign debts of the
government and the central bank, BSP said.
An unidentified government corporation also
withdrew a foreign currency deposit with the central bank, it
said.
The Philippines’ foreign reserves have been
falling steadily since they hit a peak of $36.9 billion at the
end of July.
The central bank has said that gross foreign
reserves may reach $40 billion next year, up from an estimated
$37 billion at the end of this year, supported by steady flows
of remittances from overseas workers.
The end-October reserves could cover 5.6
months worth of imports of goods and services. It was also
equivalent to 3.6 times the country’s short-term external debt
based on original maturity, the central bank said – With
Reuters)