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SATURDAY |NOVEMBER 22, 2008 | PHILIPPINES

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Peso breaches P50:$1
before recovering


BY JIMMY CALAPATI

THE peso yesterday broke the P50-to-a-dollar level as the market continued to shun risks.

"Risk-aversion pressures are still present," Bangko Sentral Gov. Amando Tetangco yesterday said.

The peso opened at P50 to a dollar yesterday and hit low of P50.17 within an hour of trading. By mid-trade, the currency recovered and hit a high of 49.80. It closed at 49.82, 17 centavos higher than Thursday’s close of 49.99.

Total volume reached $622.50, the highest this week.

Tetangco maintained that the country is doing well in terms of economic fundamentals, but events in other parts of the world are introducing volatilities.

"The economy has proven its resilience. (A) 4.6 percent (growth) in the second quarter is respectable. BPO sector remains robust. On the domestic credit side, we continue to see healthy growth. There is liquidity so we are expecting growth to continue although at slower pace. GDP growth is forecast at 4.1 and 4.8 percent in 2008, still within the long-term growth goal of the economy," Tetangco said.

"Though the economy is still doing well, in the short run, the fundamentals are neglected," Tetangco added.

The central bank chief said the volatility is not unique to the Philippines.

"The currency is still moving in tandem with other currencies," Tetangco said.

The peso was last seen closing at P50 to a dollar on Oct. 6, 2006.

Tetangco said remittances from overseas at $1.3 to $1.4 billion a month will continue to support the peso although the flow has been affected by the global crisis.

"Remittances have been affected by risk-aversion, evident in weakened stock market and pressure on exchange rate," Tetangco said.

A trader said some overseas Filipinos might be holding on to their dollars in anticipation of further weakening of the peso.

According to the BSP, remittances of overseas Filipinos coursed through banks grew by 16.9 percent in September to $1.3 billion, compared to $1.1 billion a year ago.

Remittances have remained above the one billion dollar-level for the past 29 months.

Total remittances year-to-date have reached $12.3 billion, 17.1 percent higher than the level posted during the same period a year ago at $10.5 billion.

"Robust remittance flows have been shored up by strong overseas demand for Filipino skills, and the greater availability of expanded money transfer services to overseas Filipinos and their beneficiaries," he said.

 


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