The policymaking Monetary Board yesterday
decided to keep Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas’ (BSP) key policy
interest rates steady, due to improving inflation outlook of the
country.
BSP’s key policy interest rates currently
stands at 6 percent for the overnight borrowing and 8 percent
for the overnight lending.
These were increased by a total of 100 basis
points this year due to the global economic crunch that caused
the country’s inflation reaching 12.5 percent last August.
Actual inflation figures for September will
be released today and BSP officials are optimistic that it would
be at the lower-end of the forecast of 11.8 to 12.7.
BSP governor and MB chairman Amando Tetangco
said that the inflation outlook "indicates that inflation will
decelerate to single-digit levels by the first quarter of 2009".
The MB also took into consideration global
and regional economic and financial developments, Tetangco said.
"At this point, the monetary authorities have
the latitude to keep policy settings steady," Tetangco said.
He added that food and energy prices are
retreating from recent highs, and this could indicate lower
headline inflation and more flexibility for monetary policy.
"There is no further evidence of second-round
effects in terms of additional wage and transport fare
adjustments."
The central bank chief added that there are
also signs of improving inflation expectations with the easing
of oil and rice prices.
However, Tetangco cautioned that there would
be continued vigilance over price developments, hinting that
tightening is not yet over.
"The BSP is ready to reexamine policy
settings when warranted," Tetangco said.
BSP deputy governor Diwa Guinigundo said that
it is too early to cut rates.
"But the reason for maintaining inflation has
become favorable. The inflation outlook is improving,"
Guinigundo said.
He maintained that the country should be back
to single-digit inflation by the first quarter next year and
range between 2.5 to 4.5 by 2010.
"Everything is possible. If oil and rice
prices go down, and we turn in a bumper harvest, our forecast of
single digit inflation rate will be seen by first quarter 09,"
Guinigundo said.