Peso drops past 48/dollar
By JIMMY CALAPATI and
ALBERT CASTRO
Asian stocks plummeted, led by an 11 percent
drop on Japan’s Nikkei, and oil prices dropped to a one-year low
yesterday following another rout in Wall Street which posted a
$1.1 trillion in paper losses.
Major European stock markets are expected to
open down as much as 5.9 percent, according to financial
bookmakers.
Wall Street had its worst day since the 1987
stock market crash on Wednesday, the Nasdaq has now wiped out
all of its gains from Monday’s 11 percent rally, while the
benchmark S&P 500 is up only about 1 percent from Friday’s
close.
The Dow Jones industrial average slid 733.08
points, or 7.87 percent, to 8,577.91, while the Standard &
Poor’s 500 Index tumbled 90.17 points, or 9.03 percent, to
907.84.
The Nasdaq Composite Index sank 150.68
points, or 8.47 percent, to 1,628.33.
The broad Dow Jones Wilshire 5000 closed down
905 points, or 8.99 percent, at 9,160.43, representing a paper
loss for the day of approximately $1.1 trillion.
The Philippine Stock Exchange index slumped
116.04 points to 2,122.37, a 5.18 percent drop. Losers swamped
gainers 119 to 5 Trading reached P2.32 billion.
The drop brought the Exchange’s combined
market capitalization to P5.33 trillion, less P177.92 billion
from yesterday. Since last week, the market has shed P278.24
billion.
Most actively traded Philippine Long Distance
Telephone Co., (PLDT) was down P115 to P2,275. Ayala Corp., shed
P12.50 to P245.
Ayala Land Inc. shed P0.50 to P7.10. Bank of
the Philippine Islands lost P1 to P40.50. Megaworld Corp., shed
P0.09 to P0.99
The peso skidded past 48 to the US dollar,
closing at 48.10, the lowest since April last year.
The peso was 49 centavos lower than
Wednesday’s close of 47.61.
Total trading reached $991.50 million. The
peso took an early morning beating as it opened 14 centavos
weaker at 47.75 against the dollar.
Sellers dominated the foreign exchange market
as risk-averse investors fled in search of safer investment
grounds, Marcelo Ayes, senior vice president at the Rizal
Commercial Banking Corp. said.
"It’s due to market’s renewed concern on US
recession," Ayes said.
Jonathan Ravelas, market strategist at Banco
de Oro Unibank also said that there is renewed risk aversion in
the market.
"This may push peso weaker towards the P50
level," Ravelas added.
According to Ayes, investors have to sell
stocks while the negative data that came out in the US on high
unemployment and weak consumer confidence also contributed to
the downfall.
"There has been a relapse of risk aversion.
The global economy is weakening and this indicates lower income
and maybe even losses in the future," Ayes said in a phone
interview.
Ayes added that the news on remittance is
improving, but that alone can’t help to support the peso.
He added that the outlook for the peso may
now range between 47.80 to 48.35.
Ayes explained that funds are all headed to
the United States and Europe as their federal banks’ liquidity
push provides a degree of confidence to investors.
"This is really risk aversion. All emerging
markets (like the Philippines) will be hit and the funds are
siphoned by the US and Europe because it is safer. Credit-wise,
there is less risk," he added.
"I think today there is just a combination of
uncertainty and deleveraging in the market," said Amar Gill,
head of thematic research at CLSA in Singapore.
"International funds are pulling back and
putting their money into whatever is safest: Treasuries or cash
or paying off existing debt," he said.
Market ructions as investors flee from almost
any form of risk have weighed on the global economic outlook,
which has fed back into markets in a damaging circle.
The Nikkei share average plunged 11.4
percent, the largest single-day decline since the 1987 stock
market crash.
Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index fell 7.6 percent,
with the biggest losses racked up by commodity-related
companies, such as Shenhua, China’s top coal producer. South
Korean stocks had their third biggest fall ever, down 9.4
percent and the won dived 9.7 percent, its biggest fall since
1997.
Some investors were trying to find value amid
the selling.
Even the most deft investors have been
flipped by the ferocity of selling and risk reduction in
markets. Citadel Investment Group, one of the world’s largest
hedge funds, said September was the single worst month in the
history of the company and warned of more volatility in weeks to
come.
Hedge funds have had to liquidate their
holdings to raise cash to meet margin calls and redemptions. The
resulting selling has exacerbated price action in the market,
money managers said.
US government debt prices were relatively
steady, a notable change compared with previous sharp selloffs
in the stock market that have led to solid demand for
Treasuries.
Investors may need to raise cash by selling
Treasuries, keeping prices in check. In addition concerns about
heavy new issuance to fund bank rescue packages may also be
weighing on Treasuries, traders said.
The benchmark 10-year note dipped 2/32 in
price to yield 3.959 percent, up 1 basis point from late US
trading on Wednesday.
The two-year note was steady in price to
yield 1.568 percent.
The US dollar benefited from a rush out of
risky assets, especially emerging market currencies such as the
won.
The euro fell 0.5 percent to $1.3389, edging
back toward a 1- year low of $1.3258 hit on trading platform EBS
on Friday.
The dollar rose 0.6 percent to 100.23 yen,
pulling away from a six-month low of 97.91 yen hit on Friday.
Anticipation of much slower growth and
thereby reduced demand knocked raw materials prices.
The November US light crude future fell for a
third day to a new 13-month low of $72.22 a barrel on Thursday,
down 3.25 percent. London copper fell 7.6 percent to its lowest
since 2006. (with reports from Reuters)