By JIMMY CALAPATI
Inflation rather than an economic slowdown is
the greatest risk and biggest policy challenge for developing
countries in Asia, Asian Development Bank president Haruhiko
Kuroda said.
Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas Gov. Amando
Tetangco fully agrees adding the BSP mandate is price stability.
This would mean fighting inflation takes
precedence over growth.
Kuroda said last Friday that ADB would
slightly lower its 2008 average growth rate forecast for
developing Asia - as it defines Asia excluding Japan, Australia,
and New Zealand - from its 7.6 percent estimate in April.
Tetangco said that by keeping prices down,
long term, sustainable growth is possible.
Several government officials have called on
the central bank to stop increasing interest rates that may
stall further economic growth.
Economists said that present tightening mode
of the BSP is doing "more harm."
He maintained that when price changes are
kept at manageable levels, business as well as consumers could
plan ahead.
Tetangco said that with greater
predictability in the economic environment, the government can
expect better-informed investment and consumption decisions
which should lead to a pick-up in demand.
Tetangco disagrees that growth has slowed
sharply.
"I disagree that economic growth has slowed
sharply. The Q2 GDP growth rate of 4.6 percent is within the
long-term trend growth rate that we have seen," BSP governor
Amando Tetangco said.
He added that agriculture and the growth
sectors of mining and BPO continue to show resilience.
The National Statistical Coordination Board (NSCB)
said that the economy expanded by just 4.6 percent in the first
semester, lower than the government's projection of 5.3 to 5.9
percent due to the impact of high inflation.
Economists said that the government's
economic growth target of 5.5 to 6.4 percent this year would be
a tough goal but said government spending in the second half may
offset slowing domestic consumption arising from high food and
fuel prices.
Tetangco maintained his stand that the
economy has shown resilience, despite posting lower growth and
high inflation.
Tetangco said that he expects the growth
sectors, including BPO and services, and consumption generated
by remittances to continue to provide support to the economy.
Meanwhile, the country's inflation in August
reached 12.5 percent, a 17-year high.
Despite surging, Tetangco maintained that
prices have "moderated", making analysts and economists wonder
if the central bank will continue with its tightening.
BSP earlier said that the monetary policy
would remain to be "appropriately tight".
"Our current monetary policy stance is
calibrated with the view to guide inflation expectations, and
therewith actual inflation, to move to the target range during
the policy horizon," Tetangco said.
"Our runs still show that the inflation path
will remain hump-shaped, with the inflation rate reaching the
single digit territory by late first quarter/early second
quarter next year," Tetangco said.
The Monetary Board increased late last month
by 25 basis points-or a total of 100 basis points increase so
far this year-BSP's key policy interest rates, bringing it to 6
percent for the overnight borrowing or reverse repurchase (RRP)
facility and 8 percent for the overnight lending or repurchase
(RP) facility.
An increase in the BSP's borrowing rate
encourages banks to deposit more of their funds with the central
bank.
This tempers the rise of money in
circulation, which, in turn, eases growth in demand for goods
and services.
By responding promptly to inflation risks,
the BSP intends to reduce the risks to inflation expectations
and the long-term cost to output growth from prolonged high
inflation.
Authorities believe that the series of policy
adjustments will help to steer inflation towards its desired
path for the medium term.