HONG KONG - American International Group
Inc., thrown a $20 billion lifeline by New York state officials,
came under fresh pressure for survival yesterday as ratings
agencies downgraded the insurer’s debt and the global financial
sector meltdown spread.
Asian markets, many of them closed for a
holiday on Monday, tumbled as investors absorbed the weekend’s
dramatic events on Wall Street, where Lehman Brothers filed for
bankruptcy protection and rival Merrill Lynch agreed to be sold
to Bank of America for $50 billion.
Shares in AIG plunged nearly 61 percent on
Monday and the US Federal Reserve hired investment bank Morgan
Stanley to review options for what was once the world’s biggest
insurer — which has lost 92 percent of its value this year — a
person familiar with the situation said on Monday.
British bank Barclays Plc, which over the
weekend pulled out of rescue talks for Lehman, was reported by
the Wall Street Journal to be in talks to buy large portions of
Lehman.
"We do not comment on market rumors," said
Angie Tang, a Barclays spokeswoman in Hong Kong.
AIG’s ratings downgrade could force it to
post more collateral and nullify insurance contracts, possibly
setting in motion a chain reaction that could threaten its
survival.
"While regulators allowed it to tap its
subsidiaries for cash, this will not suffice beyond the short
term, and its troubles risk losses for its counterparties,"
Dariusz Kowalczyk, chief investment strategist at CFC Seymour in
Hong Kong, wrote in a research note.
Top US savings and loan institution
Washington Mutual Inc saw its rating cut to "junk" status by
Standard & Poor’s amid concerns about mortgage losses, causing
its shares to slide in after-hours trading after a 27 percent
drop in the regular session.
Moody’s Investors Service cut AIG’s rating to
A2 from Aa3, a two-notch downgrade. S&P lowered the rating to
A-minus from AA-minus, a three-peg reduction, and Fitch Ratings
reduced its standing to A from AA-minus, a two-notch cut.
AIG’s ratings are still investment grade,
although all three agencies said more downgrades could follow.
"AIG seems to be the next guy on the chopping
block," said Tom Sowanick, chief investment officer at
Clearbrook Financial LLC in Princeton, New Jersey.
Again seeking a private solution to Wall
Street’s woes, the Fed had asked JPMorgan Chase & Co. and
Goldman Sachs Group Inc. to explore arranging $70-$75 billion in
loans to support AIG, among other financing options, another
person familiar with the situation said.
AIG turned to the Fed late on Sunday after
failed talks with several buyout firms and Warren Buffett’s
Berkshire Hathaway. The company has also said it was exploring
asset sales.
Asian stocks tumbled across the board, with
Tokyo down more than 5 percent at a three-year low. Japanese
government bond futures jumped by their daily limit of three
full points as investors fled to safe havens, while Japan’s
central bank said it would strive to maintain stability in
financial markets.
Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index was off nearly 7
percent, while Seoul’s main index dropped more than 6 percent.
"The second leg of the subprime crisis has
begun," Jun Kwang-woo, head of South Korea’s Financial Services
Commission told reporters. "It could be painful but a recovery,
once in place, may be rapid."
US stocks tumbled on Monday, with the Dow
Jones industrial average dropping more than 500 points, or 4.4
percent, as Wall Street had its worst day since markets reopened
after the September 2001 attacks.
There was speculation that Wall Street’s
worsening meltdown could prompt the Fed to act. US short-term
interest rate futures rose sharply on Monday, reflecting the
higher prospects for a rate cut at or before Tuesday’s Federal
Reserve meeting.
The iTRAXX Asia ex-Japan high-yield index, a
key measure of risk aversion, widened by over 50 basis points
from Monday’s levels to a record 700/750 bps. The equivalent
investment -grade index widened by 20 bps to 195/210 bps, also a
record.
Darkening one of the few bright spots from
the weekend’s mayhem, Bank of America — which would surpass
Citigroup Inc as the country’s largest bank by assets with the
planned takeover of Merrill — saw its shares plunge by 21
percent.
"The concern for Bank of America is the debt
that they are acquiring," said Marc Pado, US market strategist
at Cantor Fitzgerald & Co. in San Francisco.
"Secondly, is it too big a purchase? They are
dealing with Countrywide right now. Did they need to be dealing
with this as well? There’s some concern they might have bit more
than they could chew."
The state of New York, where AIG is based,
did its best to bolster the stricken insurer with a complex
asset swap giving it a $20 billion lifeline, but its longer-term
rescue depended on additional funding.
The cost to insure the debt of AIG also
surged on Monday. AIG’s credit default swaps jumped to 33.5
percent of the sum insured paid upfront, plus annual premiums of
5 percent for five years, from 13 percent upfront on Friday,
according to Markit Intraday. – Reuters